![]() ![]() In the 2020 presidential election, JOE “ BIDEN’s seven million vote margin of victory in California and New York was greater than his national vote advantage over TRUMP.”Ģ.In the Senate, “despite the fact that Democrats have only a two-seat majority, there are 41 million more Americans living in the states that they represent.”.How wide has this structural gap become? Sosnik notes: Republicans’ advantage in the Electoral College and Senate has been turbocharged by their advantage with non-college-educated voters, who live disproportionately in rural states, and by the concentrated distribution of urban-dwelling, highly educated, Democratic voters. Some key takeaways about these trends and 2024 that caught our attention:ġ. Hear from Main Street businesses on how the Chamber advocates for them during challenging times. The Chamber represents members across the country and in every sector, and 90% of the Chambers’ members are small businesses and state and local Chambers of Commerce – the backbone of the American economy. Chamber of Commerce fights for pro-growth policies that benefit small businesses. It is the battleground states in the middle - where education levels are neither disproportionately high nor low - that will decide the 2024 presidential election.” ![]() “This educational sorting has made the vast majority of states no longer politically competitive. “As a result of these economic and cultural trends, politics now has a class-based architecture where cultural affinity now surpasses voters’ narrow economic self-interests. It also extends to cultural consumption (movies, TV, books), social media choices, and voters’ sources of information that shape their understanding of facts. “Culturally, a person’s educational attainment increasingly correlates with their views on a wide range of issues, including abortion, attitudes about LGBTQ+ rights, and the relationship between government and organized religion. He begins with the observation that “college educated voters are now more likely to identify as Democrats, and those without college degrees - particularly white voters, but increasingly all Americans - support Republicans.” Sosnik’s latest big-picture take on the state of American politics digs deeper into what he and others have been calling “the diploma divide,” and it offers an excellent preview of the 2024 House, Senate and presidential elections. Related reads: NYT’s Katie Glueck on abortion and 2024: “Democrats are vowing to make abortion rights a pillar of their campaigns, while Republicans are caught between their conservative base and a public that generally backs access to the procedure.” … CNN’s Casey Tolan and Isabelle Chapman on trial-court judge MATTHEW KACSMARYK’s finances: “Details about multimillion-dollar stock holding concealed in abortion pill judge’s financial disclosures.”īRAGG BACKS DOWN - “Bragg drops bid to block former Trump investigator from testifying to Congress,” by Erica Orden and Kyle Cheney: “The Manhattan DA said the GOP-led Judiciary Committee will permit his counsel to attend the interview.”ĭoug Sosnik’s latest big-picture take on the state of American politics digs deeper into what he and others have been calling “the diploma divide.” | Jason Davis/Getty ImagesįIRST IN PLAYBOOK: NEW SOSNIK MEMO - As longtime readers know, we are big fans of the regular political memos written by DOUG SOSNIK, a senior adviser to BILL CLINTON for six years at the White House. … Justices SAMUEL ALITO and CLARENCE THOMAS dissented from the Supreme Court’s action, which prevents earlier rulings from a Texas-based judge and a federal appeals court from taking effect.” SCOTUS KEEPS STATUS QUO - “Supreme Court maintains abortion pill access for now as legal fight continues,” by Alice Miranda Ollstein and Josh Gerstein: “The high court’s decision keeps the drug, mifepristone, available for now, but the legal battle over the drug, which has become the most common method of abortion nationwide, could drag on for months if not years to come.
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